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The Dollar-Yen Move Is The Overlooked Story Bitcoin Bulls Should Pay Attention To

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The Dollar-Yen Move Is The Overlooked Story Bitcoin Bulls Should Pay Attention To

A potential intervention by American officials in the market for Japanese yen may have ripple effects for Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) and other cryptocurrencies, analysts note.

Crypto chart analyst Ali Martinez pointed out that U.S. involvement would likely mean selling dollars and buying yen, an unusual but powerful signal in foreign exchange markets.

Historically, this kind of coordinated action has had far greater impact than Japan acting alone.

The Unlikely Link Between Yen Moves And Bitcoin

Japan's urgency stems from a persistently weak yen, rising domestic bond yields, and the Bank of Japan's gradual shift toward tighter policy.

That mix has global spillover effects.

Past episodes show that solo Japanese intervention tends to fade quickly, while joint action with the U.S. carries far more credibility and staying power.

In general, a weaker U.S. dollar benefits assets that thrive on currency dilution, Bitcoin included.

How U.S. Intervention Could Reshape Crypto Markets

Over the medium to long term, sustained dollar weakness would likely support BTC, especially given that Bitcoin still trades below levels many expected after years of global monetary expansion.

However, there is a key short-term risk.

A sharp yen rally could force an unwind of the yen carry trade, triggering sudden selling across risk assets, including cryptocurrencies.

A similar dynamic played out in mid-2024, when risk markets briefly sold off amid rapid foreign exchange moves.

Traders will be watching not just whether intervention happens, but how aggressive and coordinated the response turns out to be.

Image: Shutterstock

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