Elon Musk's Wealth Eclipsed By Michael Saylor? Bitcoin Maxi Says It Could Happen If BTC Hits This Level — Here's The Fuller Picture
Cryptocurrency veteran Samson Mow projected on Wednesday that Strategy Inc. (NASDAQ:MSTR) Chair Michael Saylor will overtake Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) CEO Elon Musk as the world’s richest individual if Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) hits roughly $4.2 million apiece.
Mow’s Calculation
Mow pointed to Saylor’s personal stash of 17,732 BTC, based on his last public disclosure, and a 9.9% ownership of Strategy’s shares, as reflected in SEC filings.
As of this writing, Strategy holds 818,869 BTC in its reserves. Mow put Saylor's indirect exposure at 9.9% of the total holdings, translating to 81,068 BTC. Including Saylor's personal stash, his total effective exposure equaled 98,800 BTC.
Mow’s math showed a 1:1 valuation requires roughly $8.6 million per BTC to push Saylor's wealth past Musk's current wealth, estimated by Forbes at $826 billion. Saylor’s wealth was estimated at $5.4 billion.
However, he noted that if MSTR traded at a premium to its BTC holdings, it would amplify Saylor’s exposure and lower the required price threshold, which he estimated at $4.2 million per BTC.
Saylor’s Personal BTC
Saylor’s Indirect Exposure To Strategy’s BTC Reserves
Total Effective BTC Exposure
Total Value When BTC Hits $8.6 Million
17,732 BTC
81,068 BTC
98,800 BTC
$849.68 Billion
Counter Arguments From Analysts
Clearly, Mow made a lot of assumptions here.
Cryptocurrency analyst Willy Woo pointed out the calculation omits compounding Musk’s future net worth growth from ambitious projects, including the Dyson Swarm.
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SpaceX’s Gains, Tesla’s BTC Stash Ignored
Others cited Musk's anticipated gains from SpaceX's long-awaited market debut and Tesla's own Bitcoin holdings. Tesla owns 11,509 BTC, according to several on-chain analytics firms.
Mow admitted to the omissions, but said his hypothesis also doesn’t factor in Strategy purchasing more Bitcoin.
Price Action: Strategy shares fell 0.36% in after-hours trading after closing 5.02% higher at $186.97 during Thursday’s regular trading session.
Benzinga’s Edge Stock Rankings for Strategy indicate long-term weakness, while short- and medium-term trends remain positive.
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