Recession

Wall Street betting markets are on fire just hours before the first-quarter GDP release, with odds of a negative U.S. growth print soaring after months of trade war escalation and a record-breaking goods deficit. According to Kalshi, a CFTC-regulated prediction market, the probability of a...

Jim Cramer believes excessive pessimism may be clouding Wall Street’s outlook, arguing that strong employment trends could prevent an economic downturn despite tariff concerns. What Happened: “Will the tariffs hurt? Yes. Will prices go higher? Yes. Could there be shortages? Absolutely...

China's National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), the country's top economic planning agency, is downplaying the impact of President Donald Trump's tariffs and projecting strong growth despite mounting macroeconomic headwinds. What Happened: On Monday, Zhao Chenxin, Vice Head of the NDRC,...

The S&P 500 Index tracked by SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY) could plunge as low as 3,700 points even in a “mild recession” scenario, representing a potential 37% decline from its January levels, according to Wolfe Research. What Happened: Chris Senyek, the firm’s Chief...

This ace institutional investor — a former head of research at Nomura and Bridgewater Associates and served as a managing director at Goldman Sachs — says he has “never before observed” the trio of falling equities, rising long-term Treasury yields, and declining short-term yields. What...

Consumers are increasingly turning to comfort foods, with frozen pizza sales experiencing a significant surge, a trend some experts view as a potential indicator of shifting consumer behavior amid growing economic uncertainty. What Happened: Consumers are reaching for more frozen pizza,...

Noted investment adviser Gary Black drew attention Sunday to the rising odds of a recession in 2025 due to President Donald Trump’s tariff measures. What Happened: Black, managing partner at The Future Fund, highlighted the increasing likelihood of the U.S. slipping into...

Stock market expert Jon Erlichman recently shared a review of stock returns during the last six U.S. recessions, highlighting those that have performed well in difficult times. In a video post and also on X, Erlichman shared his analysis of stock returns during the past six recessions in the U.S...

The International Monetary Fund, or IMF, has expressed concern over escalating trade tensions sparked by new U.S. tariffs but emphasized that a global recession is not on the horizon. The organization acknowledged a sharp rise in economic uncertainty, particularly in relation to trade policy, yet...

Wall Street's recession sirens are blaring — and as traditional markets brace for impact, Bitcoin's (CRYPTO: BTC) defiant rally has investors asking: is this digital gold 2.0 or just fool's gold with better marketing? Big Banks Turn Bearish, And Fast Recession probability forecasts aren't just...

U.S. stock futures were volatile on Tuesday following a two-day advance. Futures of major benchmark indices were mixed in premarket. Donald Trump hinted at helping the car companies while talking to reporters in his Oval Office on Monday. He explained that automakers require a transition period to...

Ark Invest CEO Cathie Wood has offered a contrarian view on President Donald Trump‘s tariff policies, suggesting they could be the catalyst to end a three-year “rolling recession.” What Happened: In her recent note, Wood explains that tariffs, which initially appeared as a...

Despite recent moves by President Donald Trump to ease tariff pressure, recession expectations for the U.S. economy remain elevated, with betting markets still pricing in a greater-than-even chance of an economic contraction in 2025. As of April 14, on the CFTC-regulated prediction platform Kalshi...

Ark Invest CEO Cathie Wood brushed off concerns that President Donald Trump's tariff policies could cause economic and geopolitical disaster in a weekend note on the high volatility the stock market saw last week. What Happened: Wood regularly comments on Ark portfolio names with 15% weekly moves,...

In a Sunday interview, Ray Dalio, the founder of Bridgewater Associates, expressed his apprehension about a possible economic crisis that could surpass a recession if the current economic policies are not managed effectively. What Happened: Dalio shared his concerns on Sunday on NBC’s Meet...